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Post by Peter Pettigrew on May 19, 2022 0:28:43 GMT 10
Another night, another uncertain vote. At least the end of the week is in sight... ![:)](http://images.proboards.com/new/smiley.png) 1. Lucius got voted out in tonight's revote! Was that your preferred outcome? And did it all go according to plan? 2. Where does his elimination leave the Merge Side dynamics currently? 3. How did you approach targeting your Side Buddies during the Wizards at War Challenge? Were you surprised that you won it? 4. Despite getting mentions and allusions at the Magical Councils, the Merge Side is yet to see a Hidden Immunity Item played. Where do you believe they are, and do you think you are doing as much as you can to play around them (or with them, as the case may be)? 5. What is your plan for this upcoming Final Eight Vote? 6. What are your long-term plans? Are we close enough to the end of the game that you need to consider who might be a threat to receive votes from the Wizengamot?
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Post by Corban Yaxley on May 19, 2022 13:14:33 GMT 10
Today was a very long day.
In theory Lucius going here makes my life simpler in that I don't need to justify my decisions to him or try to persuade him to take a saner line of thought? And now that he's out I think Digg and Lily are far more content with Barty n' I. But the tie and how the split went probably buries me? It's hilarious that IRL stuff buried me this round. Dread it, run from it. 8th plays arrives all the same.
I don't know. Barty and Lily are paranoid that it's 4v4. Maybe it is? Well, if it is I deserve the death that is rapidly approaching. But I think Moody's connection to Digg is solid enough that so long as we don't push Moody to do anything they don't want to do, we can persuade him to vote with us one more round. But I'm depending on Digg/Barty for that because I haven't been on and won't be; I'm pretty sure Moody's on the west coast? So unless he logs in in the next ten minutes I'm not going to be talking to him.
Target Lucius and Wood because I don't want them to win. Target their partners because I don't want the immunity pairs thing to win. Target the folks I think other people won't hit with one or two of those damage over time or negative status effect things to get slightly ahead of them. Keep Lily alive with shield spells so that I'm more likely to get immunity. Probably I won because I have friends who wanted me to win, which is a probably a bad look. Yay.
Wood or Lucius has one. No clue about the others. I'm not going to worry about them, tbh. I don't see what I can do about them? I know in theory you can do really complicated split ideas but I think for everyone to think that's worth the effort the idol holder needs to be scary. Like, Lucius (somehow) was considered this ultra-threat? But Wood's options are pretty thoroughly damaged. Probably not unsalvageable, but damaged.
Get the four of us 'pairs' folks to vote for a very light target, and then get one more person on the outside to go for it.
If Black/Fleur get immunity I think we just lose? Wood plays his immunity because obviously he does that. I do not think the pairs want to hit Moody but we'd have no choice? So Moody won't vote for that, and Fleur/Black probably don't either?
I feel like maybe trusting Fleur was a bad idea? Oh well.
Long-term is weird. If we win the next vote we control the game until probably 6 or 5? But then it gets really weird, so complicated I don't want to even think about it. I'll give it more thought if we win.
If we lose the next vote, it depends on who dies, and how? If we lose because one of the four pairs breaks, then I'm not all that sure how we recover, but that's going to be a lot of flexibility and negotiation. If we lose because rocks then I think we all die? But I also can't be bothered to betray the others. If I try to set that up in advance, I almost certainly get caught and drawn & quartered. If I have to gamble, I'd rather gamble on folks that seem to value me.
As an aside, Barty just posted this:
Okay, I do not know how to explain this to him any more, so I'm just giving up. One of us is fundamentally misunderstanding something and I'm mildly concerned it's me? But I want to record my thoughts here so that someone can look back later and explain why my thinking is wrong.
But fundamentally, I'm reading this as if the others are not united, so we could target the one person who has the social chops and motivation to unite them? Am I stupid? I feel like our best hope here is they aren't organized, and we should work towards putting a name out there that most people are not going to get up in arms about. Fleur is the only person all three of Moody/Black/Wood are positive on? So why would we do this???
Like, I get Barty hates Fleur. We all know this. I just fundamentally do not think this is the time?
Is this how folks feel about me going for Black? I don't think I'm this persistent? But maybe if he lives another round I just drop it altogether and assume that he makes it to the end until someone else tells me otherwise.
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Post by Lily Potter on Jun 1, 2022 22:33:47 GMT 10
Okay, I do not know how to explain this to him any more, so I'm just giving up. One of us is fundamentally misunderstanding something and I'm mildly concerned it's me? But I want to record my thoughts here so that someone can look back later and explain why my thinking is wrong. But fundamentally, I'm reading this as if the others are not united, so we could target the one person who has the social chops and motivation to unite them? Am I stupid? I feel like our best hope here is they aren't organized, and we should work towards putting a name out there that most people are not going to get up in arms about. Fleur is the only person all three of Moody/Black/Wood are positive on? So why would we do this??? Because Fleur Delacour would have made sure that all 3 singles vote for the same person at F7 and defeat our split 2-2 vote... instead of moody voting for oliver, oliver voting for barty, regulus voting for diggle ![:giggle](https://i.imgur.com/GdXDrBY.gif)
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Post by Corban Yaxley on Jun 2, 2022 2:48:27 GMT 10
Lol, fair enough. I felt like Moody was secure enough with Diggle that he'd stick with us but I also wrote this not thinking of taking advantage of his timezone issues because I really wanted to avoid that type of trickery for my own purposes.
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Post by Fleur Delacour on Jun 2, 2022 4:22:33 GMT 10
Like, I get Barty hates Fleur. We all know this. I just fundamentally do not think this is the time? ![>:(](http://images.proboards.com/new/angry.png)
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Post by Fleur Delacour on Jun 2, 2022 4:24:45 GMT 10
Lol, fair enough. I felt like Moody was secure enough with Diggle that he'd stick with us but I also wrote this not thinking of taking advantage of his timezone issues because I really wanted to avoid that type of trickery for my own purposes. I'm pretty sure I could've get Moody to vote you if we had more time and you didn't win immunity ![:P](http://images.proboards.com/new/tongue.png) The bigger problem was Oliver who seemed to have a total hate boner for Diggle
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Post by Dedalus Diggle on Jun 2, 2022 6:21:49 GMT 10
Lol, fair enough. I felt like Moody was secure enough with Diggle that he'd stick with us but I also wrote this not thinking of taking advantage of his timezone issues because I really wanted to avoid that type of trickery for my own purposes. I'm pretty sure I could've get Moody to vote you if we had more time and you didn't win immunity ![:P](http://images.proboards.com/new/tongue.png) The bigger problem was Oliver who seemed to have a total hate boner for Diggle Still had a boner after he jizzed his kilt? Regardless, I get why. I didn't even message Oliver since F8 or so. I just didn't know why. So I was dead certain, he'd do nothing else but vote or get people to vote me. That turned out to be pretty useful, because it made him somewhat predictable ![:D](//storage.proboards.com/forum/images/smiley/grin.png)
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Post by Lily Potter on Jun 2, 2022 8:07:49 GMT 10
I'm pretty sure I could've get Moody to vote you if we had more time and you didn't win immunity ![:P](http://images.proboards.com/new/tongue.png) The bigger problem was Oliver who seemed to have a total hate boner for Diggle Still had a boner after he jizzed his kilt? Regardless, I get why. I didn't even message Oliver since F8 or so. I just didn't know why. So I was dead certain, he'd do nothing else but vote or get people to vote me. That turned out to be pretty useful, because it made him somewhat predictable ![:D](//storage.proboards.com/forum/images/smiley/grin.png) Lol but he voted Barty
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Post by Dedalus Diggle on Jun 2, 2022 9:00:39 GMT 10
Still had a boner after he jizzed his kilt? Regardless, I get why. I didn't even message Oliver since F8 or so. I just didn't know why. So I was dead certain, he'd do nothing else but vote or get people to vote me. That turned out to be pretty useful, because it made him somewhat predictable ![:D](//storage.proboards.com/forum/images/smiley/grin.png) Lol but he voted Barty Which was the biggest surprise in this game!
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Post by Dedalus Diggle on Jun 2, 2022 9:01:10 GMT 10
But see? That's why I never win in these games xD
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Post by Lily Potter on Jun 2, 2022 11:27:04 GMT 10
But see? That's why I never win in these games xD Obviously because you’re too loveable
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