Yeah, it's feeling very claustrophobic now.
No, but it's not a bad outcome, as far as I'm concerned. At some point Moody and Diggle needed to be separated for me to win, and having it happen with no reasonable capacity for blame on my part is actually pretty solid. I'm as blameless as anyone is for winning immunity. As an aside; I thought I did kind of badly on that challenge, 26 minutes felt so long? But WOW I guess I underestimated the capacity for my brain to autocomplete things. I had Umbridge as a potential guess with two letters, if I had more faith in myself and had noticed a pair of numbers were flipped, I'd have been sub-20 for sure.
Probably less? Not to discount the idea that one of the pairs split now to get ahead of a very messy F5 but I think the most likely way that went was Moody pulling Digg into the world of singles rather than anything else.
This question feels so pointless I almost don't want to answer it.
![:P](http://images.proboards.com/new/tongue.png)
Between potential items and pair immunity, half of the remaining cast is potentially off-limits every round from now until F3!
But okay, I guess I can. Wood first? I think he's more likely to support Lily than Black is. At F5, my logical brain says "Get Black to work with me and X to guarantee a final 3?" But I already know I won't have the heart. So probably Black goes at F5.
Right now I think odds are good the F6 is Black or Wood. It would take either a prescient switch on Wood's part or a combo of immunity from challenge on one + them havin' found the idol n' played it on the other. Technically possible, but I dunno what the point would be in plannin' for it? I think if I did I'd look like a crazy person tryin' to stir shit up, so I'll keep quiet 'bout the possibility for now. I think Black n' Wood might both prefer keepin' me over the rest? Black's (apparently) always had a soft spot for me although I have no
clue why? I feel like I give up on my messages to him too often to deserve it. Wood wants Digg dead, and I think he needs to achieve that to have a hope of winning at FTC? So I expect he'll be going for Digg. Which would suck but is not unsalvageable.
F5 is gross though. 2/5 chance Blackwood get immunity before an idol is played? So I think it's not unlikely one of the four "TAPP" (paired) folks are toast there, and I have no clue how that breaks down. I think it's on Digg again? Moody confessin' undyin' love for him is gunna have a room full o' folks worried 'bout how the jury goes extremely cautious, given the rest o' us don't have any equivalent. The problem is if he dies too early, I think I suddenly get the same position from him? Guess I'd need that to happen near the end. Outside o' that, Digg is sayin' Lily. Barty is sayin' Digg. Lily's sayin' nuthin', which prob'ly means me? Or she's just too busy altogether.
I'm in a weird spot where I think Digg' has a better resume than Lily? But Lily has never been a target so I'm terrified of bringing her there and discovering that's because she's beloved by the entire game. Barty sees her as a social shield but I think if we wait until F3, if it's Lily/Barty/myself he might decided Lily's safer because I eat too many of his otherwise more safe votes? I also don't really know how anyone sees me vs. Barty? Wood saying Digg's run things for days and Barty followed, dragging Lily along too, is *really weird*. That had to have been from Lily, I think? As an explanation for how things unfolded when in theory Wood and Lily should have been extremely close. But as an explanation, it means he'll never trust Barty OR Diggle, so at this point if he wanted to overthrow either, he'd need to get Lily, Black, and me? I dunno, just seems unlikely. Or do Black/Wood just snag Lily for a tie at 6? I literally cannot see her going for that though. She wants the stability. Even if that's how she's justified it to Wood, she knows the truth about stuff.
I feel like she's really fuckin' with either Wood/Black or Digg/Myself, but I don't think Barty would stand for shenanigans that got me killed? So it's a bit o' a mess. But if she is really fuckin' with Black n' Wood, maybe they wouldn't respect her for it at the Jury? So then is she the ideal person to take to F2? But what kind of F3 do I need for that to even work? Barty/Lily/Me is sooooo risky (and also I think maybe I can beat out Barty in an FTC anyways?) Me/Lily/Digg is probably solid for me but I do not see how that happens? Digg doesn't want it and Lily doesn't want it. Oof. Me/Lily/[Black/Wood]? Hard to imagine taking her if Black or Wood are options, hard to imagine getting taken if they're options, hard to imagine getting taken if they can take Lily. Yikes.
So ultimately for me to go up against Lily I'd need to engineer Barty's death, which I just don't have the capacity for.
Eh, I should stop thinking about this and go with the flow for a round or two. I'm sure there's plenty of time to sort this out later.